Many Liverpool fans could have been forgiven for going into Saturday’s game against QPR a little pessimistic having failed to beat the other two newly promoted sides, Norwich and Swansea, at Anfield. Liverpool gained a well deserved victory though and everyone will be hoping for back to back wins when Liverpool travel down to the Midlands to take on Aston Villa at Villa Park, a game that will be screened on Sky Sports 1 for those that can’t get down to Birmingham.
The bookies make Liverpool the most likely winners of Sunday’s match but they aren’t exactly brimming with confidence for an away win, anyone wanting to back Liverpool in this match should be looking to get odds around the 11/10 mark and since those odds are bigger than fans would usually get on a Liverpool win you can be pretty sure that those odds of 11/10 won’t go unbacked this week. The bookies have the draw and the home win pretty evenly balanced, the draw is just about second favourite from the outcomes in this match at 5/2 whilst a win for Aston Villa is slightly bigger with most bookies, the best odds at the time of writing are 14/5.
These teams have met on five occasions at Villa Park in the last five years and it has always been a close match, there have been two 0-0 draws and the three games that have been won have been won by scorelines of 1-0 twice and 2-1 once. Combined with the two teams’ recent form this could be a very tight low scoring match and with two wins for Liverpool in recent matches and just one for Aston Villa you’d probably say Liverpool hold a slight edge.
Liverpool have only managed to score four goals in their last five league games but that record is better than Aston Villa’s recent goalscoring prowess, they have only scored two goal in their last four league games. This suggests that under 2.5 goals should be a really good bet in this match at 8/11 and even under 1.5 goals should be considered at odds of 9/4. With a very low scoring match expected the best correct score bet could be a 1-0 win for Liverpool (Liverpool’s last two matches have finished 1-0) and that outcome is available at 7/1 in places whilst the first goalscorer market should offer better value than the anytime goalscorer betting in this match, Luis Suarez ended a goal drought last week and that added confidence means he could be a good bet to open the scoring at odds of 9/2.
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