Liverpool start their FA Cup journey this season on Friday night when Oldham come to Anfield in what looks like it will be a one sided affair. Liverpool are amongst the favourites to win the FA Cup but are they a good bet?
The main problem with backing Liverpool to win the FA Cup is some of the disappointing home sides against smaller teams this season. However those games have been drawn rather than lost so perhaps it is not as much of a concern in the FA Cup and those backing Liverpool at 8/1 (joint third favourites) to win the FA Cup will surely get a good run for their money.
The bookies think Liverpool pretty much have a bye in the third round having been handed Oldham at home, Oldham lie in the bottom half of League One and they have picked up just six points in their last six games which doesn’t bode well for their chances at Anfield. They have only conceded seven goals in that time period though and with Liverpool not scoring too many goals at the moment it seems unlikely there will be a huge scoreline. Liverpool are just 1/8 to win the match and any value is surely going to come in the handicap markets where Liverpool -1 can be backed at 3/10, Liverpool -2 can be backed at 10/11 and Liverpool -3 is priced up at 12/5.
Liverpool did manage to put three goals past Newcastle and Oldham’s decent defensive record is in League One, not the Premiership, so three or four goals could be the most likely return for Liverpool in this match. It’s hard to see Liverpool conceding as they have the third best defensive record in the league so that leads us to backing 3-0 and 4-0 in this match at odds of 13/2 and 8/1.
With a few goals expected the goalscorer markets will provide plenty of interest. Luis Suarez is suspended but the bookies don’t seem to realise that, the majority have him a very short price to be amongst the goals so there should be some good value on other players. If Andy Carroll is ever going to get a hatful of goals for Liverpool it could be in this game and the £35m striker is 10/3 to score first, 4/5 to score anytime and 16/1 to score a hat trick. Steven Gerrard could get a run out as he bids to return to full fitness and Gerrard is available at 5/1 to score first, 5/4 to score anytime and 25/1 to net himself a hat trick.
Will it be an easy win in the third round for Liverpool? Can Liverpool go all the way in the FA Cup this season? What are your best bets for the game against Oldham? Let us know your thoughts on the match and read other fans’ tips on OLBG’s FA cup tips page.