Written by Sam Darby
Many will be searching for Grand National Tips 2013 between now and the big race on Saturday but how can punters decide which the best tips are? Most punters are going to want a good run for their money and this is where it pays to follow previous form over the Grand National fences, with Grand National runners set to face 30 of the stiffest fences in racing. Click here for the full list of Grand National runners.
A huge number of these Grand National horses.have previously faced the Grand National fences but only around a quarter of them have actually run well enough to previously place or better in a race over these fences. The first race people are going to look back on is last year’s Grand National and although the winner Neptune Collonges was retired after the race, last year’s second, third and fourth are all back for more. Second placed Sunnyhillboy is the longest price of the trio as he’s gone up in the weights the most because of that run and also because he hasn’t been in as good form this season. Seabass and Cappa Bleu, third and fourth respectively, look more solid with Cappa Bleu perhaps the pick of the duo. Seabass ran well last year but had few excuses whilst Cappa Bleu was hampered at a crucial stage and is also likely to be ridden more positively this year which could see him improve beyond the two horses who finished in front of him last season.
With Neptune Collonges absent this year the only previous Grand National winner on show will be 2011 Ballabriggs. He has proved a bit of a Grand National specialist having run very well last year to finish sixth and with a bit of relief from the handicapper this year he certainly isn’t out of it, especially with Amberleigh House proving in 2004 that a 12 year old can win this race. It is extremely difficult to win more than one Grand National and he may be running for a place only this year though.
No horse in recent years has been as dominant over the Grand National fences as Always Waining, he has never competed in a Grand National before but has won at this meeting for the past three years in the Topham Chase, run over the same fences as the Grand National but over a much shorter distance. He looks one of the most likely finishers in the race but his stamina has to be taken on trust and although he is far from guaranteed to see the distance out, that is very much considered in his odds of 33/1.
Out of all the runners to have previously placed in a race over these fences the biggest priced contender is Swing Bill, who is trained by trainer of the 2008 Grand National winner Comply Or Die, David Pipe. The Becher Chase, run in December, is one of the most recognised Grand National trials and Swing Bill finished fourth in this season’s renewal. Swing Bill has completed the course on two of his other three attempts over these fences meaning there are certainly worse 66/1 chances out there.
Another horse with strong form over these fences is Oscar Time and he’s only slightly shorter in the betting than Swing Bill having finished second in the Grand National two years ago, behind Ballabriggs. Unfortunately Oscar Time has completely lost his form since then and he wouldn’t be one to put to much faith in. If looking at form from Grand Nationals run a few years back Big Fella Thanks comes into the reckoning, he finished 4th in the race three years ago and proved he’s still up to the task when finishing third in this season’s Becher Chase and at 33/1 he’s not without a chance although he is another that looks far more likely to place than to win.