Liverpool’s season has been summed up somewhat in the last two games, the opposition has been very much beatable (both Wigan and Blackburn in the bottom three) but Liverpool have drawn both matches. That means Newcastle have now drawn against the likes of Swansea, Norwich, Sunderland, Blackburn and Wigan and four of those games were at home. For this reason it may be a blessing in disguise that Liverpool face top half opposition on Friday night in the game that will be shown live on Sky Sports 1.
Newcastle go into this match in pretty poor form, which is an extra bonus for Liverpool, they have only managed to pick up five points from their last seven games and with Liverpool yet to lose this season at home there won’t be many backing Newcastle at 13/2. The draw is priced up at 7/2 and that could be worth covering if you are nervous about this fixture as six out of nine home games have ended all square but with Newcastle not in good form you can certainly be forgiven about getting confident over the 8/15 price about Liverpool winning this match and getting their top four challenge back on track.
This fixture is famous for providing two 4-3 wins for Liverpool in epic matches in 1996 and 1997 and that outcome looks less likely based on these two team’s relative scoring form this season but anyone looking to back a 4-3 win for Liverpool would be rewarded with 250/1 should it come in. Liverpool have gone on to win the last five meetings between the sides at Anfield either 2-0 or 3-0 so these scores will definitely be popular at 6/1 and 10/1 respectively but considering Liverpool have struggled to score at home recently (just five goals in six games) the 1-0 scoreline might actually be the one that rewards punters at 6/1.
Whether this game ends up 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 it looks likely that Liverpool can keep a clean sheet in this match having conceded just seven goals in nine home games. Liverpool have the best defensive record in the entire league and should be backed to keep a clean sheet at evens or to win the game to nil at odds of 13/10. If Liverpool can’t keep a clean sheet than you can be pretty sure that it will be Demba Ba who scores for Newcastle, he has fourteen goals in seventeen matches and has scored six of Newcastle’s last seven games. If you don’t think Liverpool will keep a clean sheet back Ba to score at anytime at 3/1.
Maxi Rodriguez scored in last week’s draw against Blackburn as we predicted and he could be worth following in the goalscorer markets once again, Rodriguez is 8/1 to score first and 11/4 to score anytime, both prices look a little on the large side. Luis Suarez is the favourite to get the goals and he will most likely get the best chances, Suarez is 9/2 to open the scoring and evens to net at anytime.
What are your best bets for Friday’s match? Will it be another 4-3 epic or can we expect a much lower scoring match? Let us know your thoughts on Liverpool v Newcastle .
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