It felt like a big week in the race for the Premier League top five, and the numbers now show just how much it swung in our favour.
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After our dramatic win over Everton on Sunday and Chelsea collapsing against Brighton last night, Liverpool have taken a huge step towards securing Champions League football.
Opta update shows Liverpool in commanding position
According to Opta Analyst, our chances of finishing in the top five have now climbed significantly.
“Arsenal 100%, Man City 100%, Man Utd 98.66%, Aston Villa 98.33%, Liverpool 90.25%, Brighton 5.97%, Bournemouth 2.33%, Brentford 1.93%, Chelsea 1.45%”
That figure of 90.25% represents a noticeable jump from the 89.2% projection after the derby, showing how much impact Chelsea’s defeat has had on the wider picture.
It’s also telling that the London side now sit at just 1.45%, effectively falling out of the race entirely after their fifth consecutive league loss without scoring.
Why this week changed everything
The swing isn’t just about the data, it’s about the context around it.
Chelsea’s heavy defeat to Brighton, combined with our last-gasp winner at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, has created a gap that now looks incredibly difficult to close with only five games remaining.
Before facing Everton, the situation was still delicate, with projections suggesting we needed at least a strong run-in to be certain of qualification.
Now, we’re in a position where the margin for error is far greater, and that changes the pressure heading into the final stretch.
That’s crucial when you consider what’s at stake financially as well, with this season’s Champions League campaign already generating around £95 million in prize money alone.
From a footballing perspective, the importance is just as clear.
Qualifying ensures we remain competitive at the top level and continue attracting the calibre of players needed to push forward under Arne Slot.
Given how the season has unfolded, it hasn’t always been convincing and there have been moments where we’ve looked vulnerable.
But results like the derby win, combined with rivals slipping up at exactly the right time, have put us firmly in control of our own destiny.
First is first 5th is nowhere.
So Chelsea have sacked yet another manager.
You have to question the people running the football club, what the hell are they doing?
But in all truth these are American billionaires, who know absolutely nothing about football.
Just like at Manchester United and at Liverpool.
Count the manager’s who Chelsea and Manchester United have gone through, they’ve spent billions on players with little to show for it.
As for us under FSG, what have we won without klopp. And I include last season premier league title, because that was won by the work klopp did, the squad and the well drilled team on the training ground he left slot. Very little to do with what slot did. That’s been proven with the decline in the last five months of last season, into the pre season this season, and all this season. A gradual decline under new training methods poor signings, poor team selection no motivation and no game management.
You don’t keep on conceding late goals with a good manager. Mistakes, repeating themselves with a manager out of his depth.
At Manchester United, Chelsea and us under FSG its owners who haven’t got a clue.
FSG were carried by an Elite coach in klopp, spending 3 million a season, one of the lowest net spend in the premier league, now the party is over.
We , Liverpool will go through managers like hot cakes, and in the process decline.
If Chelsea or Manchester United have any sense, get a manager who’s proved himself at the highest level.
Alonso what he did in Germany is the best manager out there. Somebody Is going to improve if they just go and get him.
Chelsea, Manchester United, Liverpool American owners. Take out klopp from Liverpool, who’s been the worst of this lot.